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Tuesday, January 13, 2015

THE THREE KINGDOMS OF UMNO: Is Dr M losing the battle to topple Najib & secure Mukhriz

THE THREE KINGDOMS OF UMNO: Is Dr M losing the battle to topple Najib & secure Mukhriz
Dr Mahathir Mohamad’s latest attempt to take a dig at Prime Minister, Najib Abdul Razak shows that Umno is now divided into three factions.
Compared to former premier, Abdullah A. Badawi, Najib is a lot stronger than what Mahathir had initially expected when he first started kicking up a fuss against the son of he country’s second Prime Minister, Abdul Razak Hussein.
Realising that he had no more power to negotiate for the “crooked” bridge across the Straits of Johor, Dr Mahathir had not made a single squeak over the issue since Najib came into power in 2008.
After his attempt to pressure Abdullah Badawi, Mahathir has finally taken cognizance that his influence over the government’s expenditures is waning. He is no longer the “pharaoh” that he was during his tenure as premier.
When he was in power, he decreed, and it was done. Now, he can cry and no one takes notice, both from within his own party as well as outside.
Desperate
In his latest blog, Dr Mahathir had hinted that there should be no dynasties in politics. He had cited the examples of Datuk Onn Jaafar and Tunku Abdul Rahman, who had both stepped aside for the sake of the younger leaders, which apparently had included himself.
Dr Mahathir should not forget it was Transport Minister, Hishamuddin Hussein’s own father, Hussein Onn who gave him the opportunity to rise to the post of Deputy Prime Minister. This was despite the late Tunku’s objection against Mahathir’s return to Umno.
Now, he is urging Umno not to continue with the political dynasties; instead, choose leaders who are young, talented and more dynamic. This is seen as his eleventh hour attempt to set aside both cousins – Najib and Hishamuddin.
Both Najib and Hishamuddin are sons of former prime ministers. Dr Mahathir cannot afford to allow Najib and Hishammuddin to continue to helm Umno, at the expense of his own son, whom he hopes to eventually see rising as the country’s No 1 man, after everyone forgets about his attack on the sons of Razak-Hussein duo.
Three Factions
The popular belief is that Mahathir will raise up someone like Deputy Prime Minister, Muhyiddin Yasin and Home Minister, Zahid Ahmad Hamidi, to temporarily replace Najib. The same will then prefer Mukhriz Mahathir over Hishammuddin as Deputy Prime Minister.
When the time is ripe, the Mahathir camp will backstab either Muhyiddin or Zahid, to allow Mukhriz to move into the ultimate position as the country’s prime minister. By then, Mahathir would feign having selective dementia regarding his personal attack on the cousins.
In his attack against the political dynasties in Umno, it is interesting to note that Dr Mahathir did not mention about his own political career, how he had clung on to power, until June 22, 2002, when he finally relinquished his post amidst growing pressure for him to vacate the position, which he had kept for over 22 years.
And, he did not even talk about his son, or forbid him from pursuing the premiership post, since it would mean that Mukhriz would continue the Mahathir dynasty.
The mastermind behind the country’s “divide and rule” politics realised that the Malays are not only split into three different parties – Umno, Pas and PKR, similar to both the Chinese and Indian communities. Now, even within Umno, there are three factions.
First, it is the Najib’s Camp. They are strong and untouchable. Since the last Umno General Assembly, this camp has shown that it will continue to cling on to power. They are unlikely to give up power without a fight. This is what Dr Mahathir has realised when he said that he would not ditch Najib during the last General Assembly.
Then, there is the Mahathir Camp. Dr Mahathir realised that it was not that easy to unseat Najib because of the latter’s grassroots support within Camp A.
Therefore, his latest blog was out to win over the grassroots support from Najib’s camp, trying to erode their support for what he suggests is nothing but a political dynasty under Najib. In months ahead, more of such attempts will unfold.
Both factions were formerly the Camp A in Umno, while Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah and Abdullah Badawi are still in Camp B, which are largely too weak to fight back. They choose to remain “mute” in the thick of things.
It would not be surprising to see more of the internal squabbles ending up like what we have been seeing in the public domain of late.
These may be indications that all is not well within the country’s largest ruling party. In the past week, one man was allegedly bashed up by another, while a Youth leader had lodged a police report against the 1Malaysia Development Fund headed by Najib himself.
We do not know the true reasons behind these two incidents, but it is incidents like this that could hold some gems of truth about the existing squabbles between the warring factions.
Camp A-Najib would not let go of power or allow Camp A-Mahathir to take over. Throughout the entire struggle between these two factions, Camp B Umno members are merely watching. It will be the survival of the fittest once again, as we watch both factions from Camp A fighting each other during the 1987 crisis.
Meanwhile, Abdullah Badawi’s son-in-law, Khairy Jamaluddin, who is now in Najib’s camp will find himself in a dicey situation, because Hishamuddin will be the preferred choice for deputy premiership should Muhyiddin step down.
Khairy will also not be entertained or accepted into the Camp A-Mahathir, because he has been known to be Mahathir’s “biggest” enemy.
How will this end?
It will be as the proverbial saying goes, “Dog eats dog.” Who will be the winner this time is something to watch.
In the middle of the internal struggles, Tengku Razaleigh’s Camp B faction may be trampled upon, because Razaleigh’s loyalists such as Abdullah Badawi chose to remain silent and allow the factions to fight.
However, the Mahathir camp can expect that the equally strong Camp A – Najib will not be easily ousted compared to Badawi’s Camp B.
By being the Prime Minister, Najib would have the upper hand, while Mahathir, already into his twilight years, may not be able to last long enough to see an ultimate succession plan for his son that will continue to preserve his own legacy.
Indeed, what goes around comes around. Mahathir is tasting some of his own medicine. - MAILBAG

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